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Afternoon comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00%, Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%, and Hong Kong stocks opened higher and fell back. By midday, Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00% and Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%. On the first day of listing, Mao Geping rose by 78.19%, and it rose by over 5%. Shang Tang fell more than 4%.Reserve Bank of Australia: The issue of interest rate cuts was not explicitly discussed. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock said that interest rate cuts were not explicitly considered, and interest rate hikes were not discussed. Considering whether the current policy stance is appropriate. The Committee believes that the economic situation is basically in line with the forecast.Australian Treasury Secretary chalmers: We will hold consultations with the Shadow Minister on the composition of the new Reserve Bank of Australia. Substantial progress has been made in fighting inflation.

AUD/USD fell in the short term, and the intraday decline expanded to 0.8%, after the Reserve Bank of Australia announced its interest rate decision.The fund sentiment continues to pick up, and the rebound of A shares is expected to continue! Half-day turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) exceeded 90 million yuan. By midday on December 10th, Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) had increased by 1.83%, with a turnover of 90299400 yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and Wuliangye rising by over 3%, while Kweichow Moutai, Midea Group and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by over 2%. In the news, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9th to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to "implement more active and promising macro policies." Galaxy Securities said that looking forward to the market outlook, from the macro event point of view, the US interest rate cut is expected to heat up in December, and the superimposed domestic PMI data performed well. The follow-up policy stimulus and financial data are expected to support the continuous recovery of capital sentiment, which can be appropriately optimistic. In addition, there have been many discussions on the upcoming meeting recently, and there are still strong expectations for stimulus policies. Next, the policy landing will be an important factor affecting whether the market style can be changed. If the fundamentals are expected to improve, the large and medium-sized stocks are expected to change their trend. We can pay attention to the opportunities of medium-term investment, that is, look for the turning point of the industry boom in 2025, such as new energy, medicine, advanced manufacturing, Hong Kong stock Internet and so on.Morgan Stanley published a research report that Jingdong Logistics management predicted that the net profit growth in FY 2024 would increase by 49% year-on-year, far exceeding the bank's expected 30% increase. As for the profit growth forecast for next year, it is 9% year-on-year. The bank also believes that the acquisition of Jingdong Logistics across the remaining rights and interests of Express is positive and is expected to have further synergy. Morgan Stanley set the target price of H shares of Jingdong Logistics at HK$ 13.1, giving it a rating of "keeping pace with the market".

Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Israel attacked the Syrian capital and its surrounding areas again. Syrian local media released a message today (December 10) that Israel once again launched an attack on the Syrian capital Damascus and its surrounding areas. According to Agence France-Presse, the Syrian capital Damascus heard a huge explosion today (December 10).Afternoon comment: The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in half a day, and consumer concept stocks broke out collectively. The index was active in early trading. The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in half a day, and the Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 2%. In terms of sectors, robot concept stocks continued to break out, and the concept of PEEK materials led the rise. Both China Research Institute and Xinyi New Materials had a daily limit of 20cm, while Zhongxin Fluorescent Materials and Walter shares touched the daily limit; The large consumer sector collectively rose, with dairy stocks leading the gains, and Panda Dairy, Western Animal Husbandry and Li Ziyuan were trading daily; AI concept stocks fluctuated higher, and it is worth buying 20cm daily limit, Hanwang Technology, Xinhua Media and other daily limit; Insurance stocks strengthened, and Tianli Technology, Astar, Focus Technology and other daily limit. Overall, individual stocks showed a general upward trend, with more than 4,600 stocks rising. On the disk, all sectors in the two cities generally rose, with PEEK materials, film and television theaters and dairy sectors among the top gainers.